書籍介紹
本書主要目的在評估全球及世界各分區，未來數十年大地震發生的機率。作者利用新的地震活動度回歸公式，計算全球及主要地震帶，不同規模的大地震在特定時間段的發生機率。 這本書是作者五十多年來，為了減輕地震災害，致力於地球物理學及地震學的研究和教育，所積累的具體成果。作者希望讀者發現本書使用的研究方法，有助於減少災難性地震造成的傷亡及破壞。
目次
Acknowledgements
Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1 Purpose of this Book
1.2 Outline of this Book
Chapter 2 Earthquakes and Global Plate Tectonics
2.1 Earthquake Epicenters in the World
2.2 Hypocenter Depths of Earthquakes in the World
2.3 Global Plate Tectonic Theory
Chapter 3 Data Used
3.1 Data Availability
3.2 Selective uses of the data in three periods
Chapter 4 Method for Forecasting Probabilities of Large Earthquakes
4.1 The methodology
4.2 Step 1: Calculating the logarithmic mean annual seismicity rates and corresponding standard deviations for a series of magnitudes
4.3 Step 2: Obtaining the alternative Gutenberg-Richter (G-R) relation
4.4 Step 3: Obtaining the relation for the recurrence interval, T, as a function of M
4.5 Step 4: Calculating the cumulative probability of earthquakes as a function of T, CPF(T)
4.6 Step 5: Forecasting the probabilities of large earthquakes
Chapter 5 Global Earthquakes in Different Depth Ranges
5.1 Distribution of global earthquakes in six depth ranges
5.2 Global earthquakes in the depth range of 0-33 km
5.3 Global earthquakes in the depth range of 33-70 km
5.4 Global earthquakes in the depth range of 70-150 km
5.5 Global earthquakes in the depth range of 150-300 km
5.6 Global earthquakes in the depth range of 300-500 km
5.7 Global earthquakes in the depth range of 500-800 km
Chapter 6 Eastern Circum-Pacific Seismic Belt
6.1 Eastern Circum-Pacific Seismic Belt
6.2 Eastern Aleutian Arc-Central Alaska
6.3 Southeastern Alaska and British Columbia
6.4 Cascadia Region
6.5 Northern California
6.6 Southern California
6.7 Gulf of California
6.8 Southwest Coast of Mexico
6.9 Central America
6.10 Caribbean Region
6.11 Colombia-Ecuador-Peru
6.12 Chile and Northern Argentina
Chapter 7 Western Circum-Pacific Seismic Belt
7.1 Western Circum-Pacific Seismic Belt
7.2 Western Aleutian Islands
7.3 Kamchatka-Kuril Islands-Hokkaido
7.4 Japanese Tohoku Region
7.5 Japanese Nankai Region
7.6 Mariana Islands
7.7 Ryukyu Islands
7.8 Taiwan Region
7.9 Southern Taiwan-Luzon Island Region
7.10 The Philippine Islands
7.11 Celebes-Moluccas-Timor Islands Region
7.12 Papua New Guinea-Solomon Islands 148
7.13 Vanuatu-New Caledonia Islands 152
7.14 Tonga-Kermadec-New Zealand (North Island)
7.15 New Zealand
Chapter 8 Java-Sumatra, Andaman-Nicobar Islands and Eurasian Continent
8.1 Eurasian Continent
8.2 Java-Sumatra Islands
8.3 Andaman-Nicobar Islands
8.4 Myanmar-Southeast Asia
8.5 Himalaya-Eastern Asia
8.6 Pakistan-Afghanistan-Central Asia-Iran-Caucasus
8.7 Turkey-Greece-Romania
8.8 Alps-Italy-Slovenia-Bosnia
8.9 Western Europe-North Africa
8.10 Northern China-Lake Baikal
Chapter 9: Canada-Conterminous United States
9.1 Canada
9.2 Conterminous United States
9.3 U.S. Central-Eastern Region
9.4 U.S. Intermountain Region
9.5 U.S. Western Region
Chapter 10: Mid-Oceanic Ridges-Transform Faults
10.1 Arctic Ocean
10.2 Northern Atlantic Ocean
10.3 Southern Atlantic Ocean
10.4 Southern Indian Ocean
10.5 Northern Indian Ocean
10.6 East Africa
10.7 Southern Pacific Ocean
10.8 Hawaii Islands
10.9 Global Mid-Oceanic Ridges
References
Professor Yi-Ben Tsai
Special Thanks
編／著／譯者簡介
Professor Yi-Ben Tsai
March 23, 1940 - January 31, 2018
Professor Tsai was born in a poor farming family of nine children in Taiwan.
With an unwavering belief in the importance of education, Professor Tsai earned a degree in Electrical Engineering from National Taiwan University in 1962.
After losing two sisters due to flash floods caused by a typhoon in 1959, Professor Tsai turned his efforts to mitigating the effects of natural disasters.
In 1965, Professor Tsai graduated from National Central University in Taiwan with a Master’s Degree in Geophysics. Professor Tsai then moved to the United States to pursue a doctorate in Geophysics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). He graduated from MIT in 1969 with a PhD in Geophysics, specializing in Seismology.
In 1973, Professor Tsai moved back to Taiwan with his young family and started his earthquake study journey.
For more than 50 years, Professor Tsai devoted his life to the study and teaching of Geophysics and Seismology for the purpose of planning for, and mitigating the effects of, earthquakes. He focused in particular on the areas of seismic telemetry network, strong motion observation networks, earthquake early warning systems, and precursor observations which can improve prediction ability and ultimately minimize loss of life.
Professor Tsai was awarded many honors in Taiwan, including: Distinguished Alumni from National Central University, Outstanding Scholar Award from Foundation for the Advancement of Outstanding Scholarship, Outstanding Science and Technology Award, and the Ten Outstanding Young Men Award. He was also known as the “Son of Earthquakes” in Taiwan due to his contributions to earthquake research and prediction in Taiwan. Professor Tsai was the founding director of the Institute of Earth Sciences, Academia Sinica in Taiwan and the founding dean of the College of Earth Sciences, National Central University. He has nurtured countless talented seismologists with the hope that they carry his legacy forward.
分類
其他詳細資訊
- 英文題名：The Next Big Ones
- 適用對象：成人(業務參考)，成人(學術性)，成人(休閒娛樂)
- 關鍵詞：Earthquakes
- 附件：無附件
- 頁/張/片數：286
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